US and China to Begin Trade War Talks This Week

US and China to Begin Trade War Talks This Week
Reuters

In an effort to defuse a trade war between the two largest economies in the world, US and Chinese officials are scheduled to begin negotiations this week.

The United States and China are preparing for their first high-level economic and trade talks since their latest tariff confrontation escalated sharply, with senior officials due to meet in Switzerland in May 2025.

China's Ministry of Commerce said Vice Premier He Lifeng, Beijing's lead official for China-US economic and trade affairs, would visit Switzerland from May 9 to 12 and hold talks with the US side. Washington is being represented by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer.

Tariffs Have Raised the Stakes for Both Economies

The talks come after both governments imposed unusually high additional tariffs on one another's goods. In April 2025, the United States raised an additional tariff rate applying to many Chinese imports to 125%, on top of other existing duties that meant the total tariff burden on some products could reach roughly 145%.

China responded by increasing its additional tariff on US-origin goods to 125%, effective April 12. Those measures sharply raised the cost of bilateral trade and increased pressure on manufacturers, exporters, retailers and supply chains exposed to the world's two largest economies.

The rapid escalation also created uncertainty for companies trying to price imports, plan inventories and decide where to locate production. Higher tariffs can be absorbed by importers, passed through to customers, or encourage businesses to seek alternative suppliers, depending on the product and competitive conditions.

The Initial Goal Is De-escalation

Bessent indicated before the meeting that the immediate objective was more limited than negotiating a comprehensive trade agreement. Speaking to Fox News, he said he expected the discussions to focus on de-escalation first, rather than attempting to settle all of the countries' long-running trade disputes at once.

That distinction is important. Washington and Beijing have disagreements spanning tariffs, industrial policy, market access, technology, manufacturing capacity and other economic issues. Even if officials succeed in lowering immediate tensions, a broader settlement would likely require additional rounds of negotiations.

China Says It Agreed to Talks After Reviewing US Signals

China's Ministry of Commerce said Beijing decided to engage after evaluating messages from senior US officials and considering China's own interests, global expectations and appeals from American businesses and consumers.

The ministry maintained China's opposition to the US tariff measures while also signaling that Beijing remained open to negotiations. That combination of resistance and willingness to talk suggested that the Swiss meeting was intended to establish whether both sides could halt further escalation and create a framework for continued discussions.

Why Businesses and Investors Are Watching Closely

For businesses, the central question is whether the negotiations can reduce tariff costs or at least make trade policy more predictable. Companies that depend on goods moving between the United States and China have faced a rapidly changing tariff environment, complicating purchasing decisions and profit forecasts.

Financial markets also reacted positively to news that the two sides would meet, reflecting hopes that direct negotiations might lower the risk of another round of escalation. However, an initial meeting alone would not resolve the underlying disputes, and businesses still faced significant uncertainty over the eventual tariff structure.

The negotiations also arrive during a period when investors are monitoring US monetary policy and China's efforts to support its economy, meaning trade policy is only one of several forces influencing financial markets.

What to Watch From the Switzerland Talks

The most important early signals will be whether the two governments agree to reduce or suspend some of the recently imposed tariffs, establish a timetable for additional negotiations, or create a formal mechanism for continued economic discussions.

A failure to make progress could leave the existing tariff barriers in place and prolong uncertainty for exporters and multinational companies. Even a limited agreement, however, could reduce the immediate risk of further escalation and give negotiators more time to address the larger disputes affecting the bilateral economic relationship.

Later Context: The Geneva Meeting Produced a Temporary Tariff Truce

After the May 10–11 talks in Geneva, the two governments announced a joint framework on May 12. Both sides agreed to substantially reduce the additional tariffs imposed during the April escalation for an initial 90-day period while establishing a mechanism for continued economic and trade discussions.

The agreement did not settle the wider US-China trade dispute, but it demonstrated that the Switzerland talks progressed beyond an introductory meeting and produced a temporary de-escalation of the tariff confrontation.

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